Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.174945 0.203325 0.234896 0.272630 0.316529 0.366014 0.426074
2025-03-16 0.129334 0.166665 0.212686 0.273651 0.352414 0.450916 0.583756
2025-03-23 0.106690 0.147600 0.201725 0.278704 0.385640 0.529357 0.737921
2025-03-30 0.088241 0.129307 0.186842 0.273534 0.401294 0.583379 0.863955
2025-04-06 0.075387 0.116098 0.176031 0.270964 0.418220 0.639065 0.997591
2025-04-13 0.066216 0.106602 0.168744 0.271683 0.438858 0.701306 1.147835
2025-04-20 0.061261 0.102722 0.169162 0.283843 0.478125 0.796252 1.361459
2025-04-27 0.056612 0.098561 0.168354 0.293495 0.513956 0.889325 1.583584
2025-05-04 0.052361 0.094415 0.166874 0.301503 0.547521 0.982007 1.816484
2025-05-11 0.047802 0.089073 0.162556 0.303725 0.570719 1.058744 2.029918
2025-05-18 0.043181 0.082994 0.156108 0.301066 0.584280 1.119059 2.219648
2025-05-25 0.038329 0.075853 0.146808 0.291743 0.583755 1.152386 2.360543
2025-06-01 0.036042 0.073485 0.146426 0.300024 0.619363 1.261086 2.669752
2025-06-08 0.033174 0.069611 0.142662 0.301084 0.640607 1.343992 2.937599
2025-06-15 0.031086 0.067062 0.141215 0.306652 0.671761 1.450738 3.270396
2025-06-22 0.028189 0.062429 0.134886 0.300956 0.677818 1.504690 3.493289
2025-06-29 0.025863 0.058754 0.130151 0.298124 0.689753 1.572694 3.757090
2025-07-06 0.024068 0.056045 0.127200 0.298917 0.709963 1.661558 4.081744
2025-07-13 0.023356 0.055736 0.129574 0.312315 0.761326 1.828492 4.618079
2025-07-20 0.022486 0.054943 0.130735 0.322950 0.807344 1.988318 5.158696
2025-07-27 0.021551 0.053884 0.131141 0.331773 0.849972 2.145059 5.713063
2025-08-03 0.020305 0.051905 0.129103 0.334222 0.876738 2.265437 6.188414
2025-08-10 0.018868 0.049271 0.125156 0.331292 0.889159 2.350604 6.580484